Logs

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150345-45): primary NO 58c->71c (+13c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150345-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":58,"primary_fresh_ask":71,"primary_drift":13,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

trade 8377 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+7.92

trade 8376 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+23.78

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "liquidity_sweep_just_done",\n      "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n      "lower_highs_for…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150345-45, closes in 840s

new window live after 30.0s; settling for 30s before first review

Claude declined hedge: Price is $141 above strike with 1.1 min remaining and trending up (+13, +11). No

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $134 above strike with 1.2 min remaining and trending up (+13, +11). No

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $134 above strike with 1.3min left, trending up (+13, +11 last two cand

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $145 above strike with 1.5min remaining. Recent candles show minimal os

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $140 above strike with 1.6min remaining. Recent candles show minimal os

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $147 above strike with 1.7min remaining. Recent candles show minimal os

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $131 above strike with 1.9min remaining. Recent candles show minimal os

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $131 above strike with only 2 min left. Mild downward drift (-10, -20) 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $115 above strike with only 2.1 min remaining. Mild downward drift (-10

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $123 above strike with only 2.3 min remaining. Downward drift is mild (

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $108 above strike with only 2.4 min remaining. Downtrend is mild (-10, 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $96 above strike with 2.6min remaining. Recent candles show minimal vol

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $91 above strike with 2.7min remaining. Recent candles show minimal vol

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $91 above strike with 2.8min remaining. Recent candles show minimal vol

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $128 above strike with 3 min left. Recent candles show minor oscillatio

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $134 above strike with 3.6min left and trending up. Both R1/R2 bullish,

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $130 above strike with 3.7min left, trending bullish. Recent candles sh

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $130 above strike with 3.8min left, trending bullish with higher lows. 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $138 above strike with 4min left, trending up (+74, +12). Momentum dece

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $138 above strike with 4.2min remaining and trending up (+74, +12). Mom

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $134 above strike with 4.3min left, trending up (+74, +12). Both theses

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $145 above strike and trending up strongly (+90 last candle). Both thes

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$155

Claude declined hedge: Price is $137 above strike and trending up (+35, +53 last two candles). Both the

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $147 above strike and trending up (+35, +53 last two candles). Both the

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $124 above strike and trending up (+8, +35 last two candles). Both thes

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $124 above strike and trending up (+8, +35 last two candles). Both thes

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $74 above strike and trending up (+8, +35 last two candles). Both these

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $71 above strike and trending up (+8, +6). Both theses bullish with 0 c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $65 above strike and trending up (+8, +6). Both theses bullish with 0 c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $50 above strike and trending up (+8, +6). Both theses bullish with 0 c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $42 above strike and trending up (+8, +6). Both theses bullish with 0 c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $42 above strike with 6.6min remaining. Recent candles show minimal vol

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=507s remaining=393s | parent=YES@71¢

decision 4864 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8377: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=88c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8377 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=83c live_ask=88c drift=5c

decision 4864: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30): primary YES 83c->83c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":83,"primary_fresh_ask":83,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30, closes in 405s

decision 4863 (review 1/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8376: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=71c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8376 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=56c live_ask=71c drift=15c

decision 4863: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30): primary YES 49c->56c (+7c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":49,"primary_fresh_ask":56,"primary_drift":7,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BULLISH",\n    "implied_side": "YES",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "price_above_vwap_bullish_thesis",\n      "higher_lows_forming",\n      "momentum_decelerating_aga…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150330-30, closes in 834s

new window live after 35.9s; settling for 30s before first review

review 2/2 call failed: Claude response failed schema validation: 2 validation errors for TradeDecisionV19
action_type
  Field required [type=missing, input_value={'thesis': {'trend': 'BEA...'}, 'scale_entries': []}, input_type=dict]
    For further information visit https://errors.pydantic.dev/2.13/v/missing
r1_status_at_r2
  Field required [type=missing, input_value={'thesis': {'trend': 'BEA...'}, 'scale_entries': []}, input_type=dict]
    For further information visit https://errors.pydantic.dev/2.13/v/missing

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=6/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

Claude response failed schema validation; raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{"thesis":{"trend":"BEARISH","implied_side":"NO","contributing_features":["lower_highs_forming","price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis","momentum_decelerating_against_thesis"],"concerning_features":["higher…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=5/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 5/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{"thesis":{"trend":"BEARISH","implied_side":"NO","contributing_features":["lower_highs_forming","price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis","momentum_decelerating_against_thesis"],"concerning_features":["higher…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=4/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 4/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{"thesis":{"trend":"BEARISH","implied_side":"NO","contributing_features":["lower_highs_forming","price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis","momentum_decelerating_against_thesis"],"concerning_features":["higher…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=3/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 3/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{"thesis":{"trend":"BEARISH","implied_side":"NO","contributing_features":["lower_highs_forming","price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis","momentum_decelerating_against_thesis"],"concerning_features":["higher…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=2/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 2/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n      "momentum_decelerating_agai…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): 'Looking at the current state:\n\nBTC is at 65,749.98 vs strike 65,786.21 — currently ~$36 BELOW strike. The window closes in ~414 seconds (~6.9 min).\n\nThe intra-window price path shows BTC opened at 65,…'

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150315-15, closes in 415s

trade 8375 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+5.85

trade 8374 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-58.63

review 1/2: aborted by v1.7.12 freshness gate — stale_book_adverse_drift: NO ask drifted 58c -> 81c (+23c >= 20c threshold) between the LLM call and trade insertion

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150315-15): primary NO 58c->81c (+23c); gate=abort (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150315-15","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":58,"primary_fresh_ask":81,"primary_drift":23,"gate_decision":"abort","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n      "lower_highs_…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150315-15, closes in 856s

new window live after 14.3s; settling for 30s before first review

KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'}

decision 4860 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8375: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=91c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8375 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00 side=YES snapshot_ask=84c live_ask=91c drift=7c

decision 4860: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00): primary YES 84c->84c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":84,"primary_fresh_ask":84,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00, closes in 410s

trade 8373 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+1.80

trade 8372 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+59.00

decision 4859 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8374: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=41c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8374 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=49c live_ask=41c drift=-8c

decision 4859: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00): primary NO 51c->49c (-2c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":51,"primary_fresh_ask":49,"primary_drift":-2,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n      "liquidity_sweep_just_done"…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150300-00, closes in 846s

new window live after 23.6s; settling for 30s before first review

Claude declined hedge: Only 1.1 min remaining, price at $65,778 needs $129 move to hit $65,907 strike. 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,779 is $128 below strike with only 1.2 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,779 is $128 below strike with only 1.3 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,779 is $128 below strike with only 1.5 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,778 needs $129 move to strike in 1.6 min with decelerating upward m

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,774 is $133 below strike with only 1.8 min remaining. Momentum is w

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,781 is $126 below strike with only 1.9min remaining. Momentum is we

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,777 is $130 below strike with only 2 min remaining. Recent candles 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,774 is $133 below strike with only 2.2 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,774 is $133 below strike with only 2.3 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,774 is $133 below strike with only 2.4 min remaining. Recent candle

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $146 below strike with 2.6min remaining and showing sideways/bearish dr

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $143 below strike with 2.7 min remaining and showing bearish drift. Bot

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $146 below strike with 2.8min remaining and showing sideways/bearish dr

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $146 below strike with 3 min remaining and showing flat/bearish micro-m

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 3.1 min remaining. Both R1/R2 bearish, lower hig

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$153

Claude declined hedge: Price is $143 below strike with 4.9min remaining and showing flat/slightly beari

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $143 below strike with 5 min remaining. Both R1/R2 are bearish/NO-align

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 5.1min remaining and showing flat/slight bearish

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 5.3min remaining. Both R1/R2 bearish, lower high

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 5.4min remaining and showing flat/bearish micro-

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 5.6min remaining and trending down (-20 last can

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $139 below strike and trending down (-20 last candle). Both R1/R2 beari

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $139 below strike with 5.8min remaining and trending down (-20 last can

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike and trending down (-20 last candle). Both R1/R2 beari

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 6.1 min remaining and showing consistent bearish

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $139 below strike with 6.3min remaining and trending down (-3/-3 last c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $139 below strike with 6.4min remaining and trending down (-3, -3). Bot

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with only 6.6min left, trending down (-3/-3 last cand

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=506s remaining=394s | parent=NO@50¢

decision 4858 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8373: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=97c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8373 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=95c live_ask=97c drift=2c

decision 4858: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45): primary NO 92c->95c (+3c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":92,"primary_fresh_ask":95,"primary_drift":3,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN150245-45, closes in 412s

trade 8371 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+36.10

trade 8370 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-58.85