Logs

Hedge placed: YES 256c @ 9c bucket=0.25

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $63 below strike with only 4.8min left. Recent candles show minimal upw

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $57 below strike with only 5 min remaining. Both R1/R2 are bearish/NO-a

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $57 below strike with 5.1min left. Recent candles show minimal upward d

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $57 below strike with only 5.3 min left. Recent candles show minimal up

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $57 below strike with 5.4min left, trending bearish. Both R1/R2 confirm

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $58 below strike with 5.5min left, trending bearish. Both R1/R2 confirm

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $63 below strike with 5.7min left, trending bearish. Both R1/R2 confirm

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $56 below strike with 5.8min left, trending bearish. Both R1/R2 confirm

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $51 below strike with 6min left, trending bearish per both R1/R2. Recen

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00 | gate4 fail | opposing_ask=25¢ (threshold=20¢)

KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=506s remaining=394s | parent=NO@76¢

decision 5388 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8958: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=76c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8958 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=80c live_ask=76c drift=-4c

decision 5388: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00): primary NO 80c->80c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":80,"primary_fresh_ask":80,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00, closes in 409s

trade 8956 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-31.68

trade 8955 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+29.52

trade 8954 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+97.50

decision 5387 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8957: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=41c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8957 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=40c live_ask=41c drift=1c

decision 5387: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00): primary NO 41c->40c (-1c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":41,"primary_fresh_ask":40,"primary_drift":-1,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n      "momentum_decelerating_agai…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172100-00, closes in 852s

new window live after 17.5s; settling for 30s before first review

Hedge placed: YES 352c @ 9c bucket=0.25

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $44 below strike with 2.3min left. Both R1/R2 bearish, momentum deceler

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $48 below strike with 2.5min left and bearish momentum intact. Recent c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $55 below strike with 2.6min left, trending bearish. Recent candles sho

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $68 below strike with 2.8min left and trending bearish. Recent candles 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $60 below strike with 2.9min left and bearish momentum intact. Recent c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $44 below strike with 3 min remaining and bearish momentum intact. Rece

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $50 below strike with 3.2min left and bearish momentum intact. Recent c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price at $64,462 is $70 below strike with 3.4min left. Last candle dropped $38, 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $96 below strike with 3.5min left and showing bearish momentum (last ca

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $96 below strike with 3.7min left and bearish momentum confirmed by bot

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $89 below strike with 3.8min left and showing bearish momentum (last ca

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $78 below strike with 3.9min left and showing bearish momentum (recent 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $69 below strike with 4.1min left and showing bearish momentum (recent 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $74 below strike with 4.2min left. Recent candle turned down (-28). Bot

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $68 below strike with 4.4min left and showing bearish momentum (last ca

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $68 below strike with 4.5min left and showing mild bearish drift. Both 

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $48 below strike with 4.6min left and bearish momentum intact. Recent c

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $74 below strike and falling (-15, -18 consecutive candles). Bearish mo

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $74 below strike with 5.3min left, trending down (-15, -18 last candles

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $68 below strike with 5.5min left. Recent candles show oscillation (+16

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $69 below strike with 5.6min left. Recent candles show oscillation (+16

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $51 below strike with 5.7min left. Recent candles show oscillation (+16

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45 | gate4 fail | opposing_ask=32¢ (threshold=20¢)

KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=505s remaining=395s | parent=NO@64¢

decision 5386 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8955: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=64c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8955 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=54c live_ask=64c drift=10c

decision 5386: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45): primary NO 63c->54c (-9c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":63,"primary_fresh_ask":54,"primary_drift":-9,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45, closes in 409s

trade 8953 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-52.44

trade 8952 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+64.35

decision 5385 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8954: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=35c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8954 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=40c live_ask=35c drift=-5c

decision 5385: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45): primary NO 44c->40c (-4c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":44,"primary_fresh_ask":40,"primary_drift":-4,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n      "momentum_decelerating_agai…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172045-45, closes in 846s

new window live after 23.8s; settling for 30s before first review

KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'}

decision 5384 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8953: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=69c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8953 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=57c live_ask=69c drift=12c

decision 5384: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30): primary YES 63c->57c (-6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":63,"primary_fresh_ask":57,"primary_drift":-6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 4/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=3/6 errors=[<root>|value_error|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 3/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{"thesis":{"trend":"BEARISH","implied_side":"NO","contributing_features":["lower_highs_forming","structure_break_with_thesis","price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis"],"concerning_features":["momentum_accele…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=2/6 errors=[<root>|value_error|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 2/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "structure_break_with_thesis",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesi…'

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=1/6 errors=[<root>|value_error|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "structure_break_with_thesis",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesi…'

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30, closes in 409s

trade 8951 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+2.75

trade 8950 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-53.38

decision 5383 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8952: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=45c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8952 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30 side=NO snapshot_ask=37c live_ask=45c drift=8c

decision 5383: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30): primary NO 50c->37c (-13c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":50,"primary_fresh_ask":37,"primary_drift":-13,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n      "liquidity_sweep_just_…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172030-30, closes in 846s

new window live after 23.8s; settling for 30s before first review

KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'}

decision 5382 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8951: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=95c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8951 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15 side=YES snapshot_ask=95c live_ask=95c drift=0c

decision 5382: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15): primary YES 95c->95c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":95,"primary_fresh_ask":95,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15, closes in 410s

trade 8949 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+8.68

trade 8948 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-52.29

decision 5381 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8950: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=34c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8950 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15 side=NO snapshot_ask=41c live_ask=34c drift=-7c

decision 5381: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15): primary NO 41c->41c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":41,"primary_fresh_ask":41,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "structure_break_with_thesis",\n      "momentum_decelerating_against_…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172015-15, closes in 849s

new window live after 20.7s; settling for 30s before first review

KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'}

decision 5380 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8949: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=86c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8949 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00 side=YES snapshot_ask=73c live_ask=86c drift=13c

decision 5380: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00): primary YES 73c->73c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":73,"primary_fresh_ask":73,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=1/6 errors=[<root>|value_error|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "structure_break_with_thesis",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesi…'

review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00, closes in 397s

trade 8947 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-20.71

trade 8946 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+7.80

trade 8945 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+75.52

decision 5379 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate

fill 8948: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=63c

live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8948 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=56c live_ask=63c drift=7c

decision 5379: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00.

v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00): primary NO 47c->56c (+9c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":47,"primary_fresh_ask":56,"primary_drift":9,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20}

trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6

v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...]

trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n  "thesis": {\n    "trend": "BEARISH",\n    "implied_side": "NO",\n    "contributing_features": [\n      "lower_highs_forming",\n      "structure_break_with_thesis",\n      "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesi…'

review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN172000-00, closes in 821s

new window live after 48.8s; settling for 30s before first review

Hedge placed: YES 109c @ 19c bucket=0.25

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45 | gate4 fail | opposing_ask=25¢ (threshold=20¢)

Claude declined hedge: Price is $63 below strike with 5.1min left. Recent candles show +12/-9 oscillati

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $64 below strike with 5.3min left. Recent candles show minor bounce (+1

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $62 below strike with 5.4min left. Recent candles show minimal upward d

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $62 below strike with 5.5min left. Recent candles show minimal upward d

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $62 below strike with only 5.7min left. Movement is essentially flat (+

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $59 below strike with only 5.8min left. Recent candles show near-zero m

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $52 below strike with only 6 min remaining. Both R1/R2 are bearish/NO-a

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price is $60 below strike with flat momentum (+3 over 3 candles). Both theses be

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price frozen at $64,377 for 3 candles, $84 below strike. Both theses bearish/NO-

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price frozen at $64,377 for 3 candles, $84 below strike. Both theses bearish/NO.

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude

Claude declined hedge: Price frozen at $64,377 for 3 candles, $73 below strike. Both theses bearish/NO.

Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN171945-45; calling Claude