No pending entries for this window.
No pending entries.
| ts (UTC) | window | bias |
decision | side | conf | entries |
reasoning |
| 2026-04-19T00:15:10.015488+00:00 |
KXBTC15M-26APR182015-15 |
BTC at 75810, well above strike 75735 — YES is nearly certain to win; market already priced at 99-100c. |
skip |
— |
0.97 |
0 |
BTC is trading at 75810, approximately 75 points above the floor strike of 75735.24, with very low volatility (0.01% on all short timeframes). The YES side is priced at 99-100c offering no edge — payi |
| 2026-04-18T23:30:12.262873+00:00 |
KXBTC15M-26APR181930-30 |
BTC at 75853.99, strike is 75868.99 — price is ~15 below strike, 24h bias bearish, short-term neutral; NO has very high implied probability (98-99 cents) |
trade |
NO |
0.82 |
1 |
BTC is currently trading at 75853.99, roughly 15 points below the strike of 75868.99 with only 15 minutes left. The 24h bias is bearish (strength=2), short-term bias is neutral, and price has not show |
| 2026-04-18T23:00:10.453219+00:00 |
KXBTC15M-26APR181900-00 |
BTC at 75845.84 is well above the 75808.16 floor strike with ~37 points of cushion; market already pricing YES at 100 cents indicating near-certain settlement above strike. |
skip |
— |
0.00 |
0 |
The Kalshi market is showing YES bid/ask at 100/100 with NO at 0/0, meaning the market is fully priced for YES with zero edge available. BTC is currently 37 points above the floor strike with low vola |
| 2026-04-18T22:45:09.585908+00:00 |
KXBTC15M-26APR181845-45 |
BTC at 75802 is well above the 75746 floor strike; market already pricing YES at 100 cents with zero spread, confirming near-certain YES outcome. |
skip |
— |
0.00 |
0 |
The YES bid/ask is 100/100 and NO is 0/0, meaning the market is fully resolved with no edge available on either side. BTC at 75802 is ~56 points above the 75746 floor strike with only 15 minutes remai |
| ts (UTC) | task | level | message |
|---|
| 2026-04-19T00:30:05.507561+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
skipping window (context unavailable) |
| 2026-04-19T00:30:05.507257+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
empty book sentinel for KXBTC15M-26APR182030-30 |
| 2026-04-19T00:15:10.015938+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
decision 4: skip side=None entries=0 conf=0.97 |
| 2026-04-19T00:00:05.055257+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
skipping window (context unavailable) |
| 2026-04-19T00:00:05.054930+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
empty book sentinel for KXBTC15M-26APR182000-00 |
| 2026-04-18T23:45:05.133595+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
skipping window (context unavailable) |
| 2026-04-18T23:45:05.133342+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
empty book sentinel for KXBTC15M-26APR181945-45 |
| 2026-04-18T23:32:25.373395+00:00 |
settler |
INFO |
trade 1 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+0.01 |
| 2026-04-18T23:30:12.266703+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
decision 3: trade side=NO entries=1 conf=0.82 |
| 2026-04-18T23:30:12.266573+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
executed 1/1 entries for decision 3 |
| 2026-04-18T23:15:09.281849+00:00 |
claude |
ERROR |
claude call failed: Claude response was not valid JSON: Expecting value |
| 2026-04-18T23:00:10.453685+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
decision 2: skip side=None entries=0 conf=0.00 |
| 2026-04-18T22:45:09.586394+00:00 |
scheduler |
INFO |
decision 1: skip side=None entries=0 conf=0.00 |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.993053+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Started: heartbeat |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.992968+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Started: settler |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.992845+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Started: watcher |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.992265+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Started: scheduler |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.974927+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Anthropic reachable: auth verified (probe response intentionally fails JSON validation) |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.264621+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Collector reachable: status=ok |
| 2026-04-18T22:31:54.214667+00:00 |
startup |
INFO |
Kujaku bot starting | model=claude-sonnet-4-6 | collector=https://data-btc.kujaku.ai | paper_mode=True | port=8080 |