| Timestamp (UTC) | Local | Level | Source | Message |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15T02:57:03.423139+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with only 3 min left, trending down consistently. Bot |
id=142175 · 2026-06-15T02:57:03.423139+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with only 3 min left, trending down consistently. Bot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:57:00.526461+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142174 · 2026-06-15T02:57:00.526461+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:55.149981+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 3.1 min remaining and trending down (-22, -10). |
id=142173 · 2026-06-15T02:56:55.149981+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 3.1 min remaining and trending down (-22, -10). | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:52.569526+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142172 · 2026-06-15T02:56:52.569526+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:46.571931+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 3.3 min left, trending down consistently. Both R |
id=142171 · 2026-06-15T02:56:46.571931+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $136 below strike with 3.3 min left, trending down consistently. Both R | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:43.629017+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142170 · 2026-06-15T02:56:43.629017+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:38.245066+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 3.4 min remaining and flat/declining momentum. B |
id=142169 · 2026-06-15T02:56:38.245066+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 3.4 min remaining and flat/declining momentum. B | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:56:35.797866+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142168 · 2026-06-15T02:56:35.797866+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:58.086535+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 4.1 min remaining and flat/slightly bearish mome |
id=142167 · 2026-06-15T02:55:58.086535+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $149 below strike with 4.1 min remaining and flat/slightly bearish mome | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:55.774887+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142166 · 2026-06-15T02:55:55.774887+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:28.268274+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $140 below strike with 4.6min left, trending down consistently (-13, -1 |
id=142165 · 2026-06-15T02:55:28.268274+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $140 below strike with 4.6min left, trending down consistently (-13, -1 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:25.588423+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142164 · 2026-06-15T02:55:25.588423+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:20.206462+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $143 below strike with 4.7min left, trending down consistently (-13, -1 |
id=142163 · 2026-06-15T02:55:20.206462+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $143 below strike with 4.7min left, trending down consistently (-13, -1 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:17.412992+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142162 · 2026-06-15T02:55:17.412992+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:12.030175+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 4.9min left, trending down (-12 to -13 per candl |
id=142161 · 2026-06-15T02:55:12.030175+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 4.9min left, trending down (-12 to -13 per candl | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:09.154351+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142160 · 2026-06-15T02:55:09.154351+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:03.739607+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 5min left and accelerating bearish momentum (-13 |
id=142159 · 2026-06-15T02:55:03.739607+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 5min left and accelerating bearish momentum (-13 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:55:01.261482+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142158 · 2026-06-15T02:55:01.261482+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:55.878428+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $144 below strike with 5.1min left, trending down (-43 over last 3 cand |
id=142157 · 2026-06-15T02:54:55.878428+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $144 below strike with 5.1min left, trending down (-43 over last 3 cand | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:53.142452+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142156 · 2026-06-15T02:54:53.142452+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:47.375808+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $146 below strike with 5.3min left, trending bearish (-43 over last 3 c |
id=142155 · 2026-06-15T02:54:47.375808+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $146 below strike with 5.3min left, trending bearish (-43 over last 3 c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:44.329350+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142154 · 2026-06-15T02:54:44.329350+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:06.557629+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 5.9 min left and accelerating bearish momentum ( |
id=142153 · 2026-06-15T02:54:06.557629+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 5.9 min left and accelerating bearish momentum ( | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:54:03.574436+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142152 · 2026-06-15T02:54:03.574436+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:58.188892+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 6.1min left and accelerating bearish momentum (- |
id=142151 · 2026-06-15T02:53:58.188892+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $133 below strike with 6.1min left and accelerating bearish momentum (- | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:55.497574+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude |
id=142150 · 2026-06-15T02:53:55.497574+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:28.574078+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$156 |
id=142149 · 2026-06-15T02:53:28.574078+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$156 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:28.201267+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=508s remaining=392s | parent=NO@66¢ |
id=142148 · 2026-06-15T02:53:28.201267+00:00 · INFO · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=508s remaining=392s | parent=NO@66¢ | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:23.828502+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4828 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142147 · 2026-06-15T02:53:23.828502+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4828 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:23.816302+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8341: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=99c |
id=142146 · 2026-06-15T02:53:23.816302+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8341: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=99c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:23.815591+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8341 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=96c live_ask=99c drift=3c |
id=142145 · 2026-06-15T02:53:23.815591+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8341 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=96c live_ask=99c drift=3c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:23.789043+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4828: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142144 · 2026-06-15T02:53:23.789043+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4828: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:23.785360+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00): primary NO 96c->96c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":96,"primary_fresh_ask":96,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142143 · 2026-06-15T02:53:23.785360+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00): primary NO 96c->96c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":96,"primary_fresh_ask":96,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:53:14.144569+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00, closes in 406s |
id=142142 · 2026-06-15T02:53:14.144569+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00, closes in 406s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.553694+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4827 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142141 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.553694+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4827 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.541099+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8340: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=66c |
id=142140 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.541099+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8340: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=66c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.540350+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8340 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=66c live_ask=66c drift=0c |
id=142139 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.540350+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8340 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=66c live_ask=66c drift=0c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.513862+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4827: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142138 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.513862+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4827: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.509096+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00): primary NO 60c->66c (+6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":60,"primary_fresh_ask":66,"primary_drift":6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142137 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.509096+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00): primary NO 60c->66c (+6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":60,"primary_fresh_ask":66,"primary_drift":6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:15.423933+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142136 · 2026-06-15T02:46:15.423933+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:09.969728+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8339 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-62.54 |
id=142135 · 2026-06-15T02:46:09.969728+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8339 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-62.54 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:09.957626+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8338 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+70.49 |
id=142134 · 2026-06-15T02:46:09.957626+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8338 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+70.49 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:09.653487+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] |
id=142133 · 2026-06-15T02:46:09.653487+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:09.653145+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n "liquidity_sw…' |
id=142132 · 2026-06-15T02:46:09.653145+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n "liquidity_sw…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:46:02.985882+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00, closes in 837s |
id=142131 · 2026-06-15T02:46:02.985882+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142300-00, closes in 837s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:45:32.984751+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 32.9s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=142130 · 2026-06-15T02:45:32.984751+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 32.9s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:45:32.644920+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142129 · 2026-06-15T02:45:32.644920+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:44:31.522538+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142128 · 2026-06-15T02:44:31.522538+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:25.967940+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'} |
id=142127 · 2026-06-15T02:38:25.967940+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:24.121239+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4826 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142126 · 2026-06-15T02:38:24.121239+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4826 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:24.109086+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8339: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=53c |
id=142125 · 2026-06-15T02:38:24.109086+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8339: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=53c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:24.108445+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8339 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 side=YES snapshot_ask=60c live_ask=53c drift=-7c |
id=142124 · 2026-06-15T02:38:24.108445+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8339 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 side=YES snapshot_ask=60c live_ask=53c drift=-7c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:24.075861+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4826: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142123 · 2026-06-15T02:38:24.075861+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4826: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:24.072015+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45): primary YES 60c->60c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":60,"primary_fresh_ask":60,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142122 · 2026-06-15T02:38:24.072015+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45): primary YES 60c->60c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":60,"primary_fresh_ask":60,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:38:14.477472+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45, closes in 406s |
id=142121 · 2026-06-15T02:38:14.477472+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45, closes in 406s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.840021+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4825 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142120 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.840021+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4825 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.827973+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8338: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=47c |
id=142119 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.827973+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8338: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=47c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.827250+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8338 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=50c live_ask=47c drift=-3c |
id=142118 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.827250+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8338 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=50c live_ask=47c drift=-3c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.795747+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4825: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142117 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.795747+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4825: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.789822+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45): primary NO 56c->50c (-6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":56,"primary_fresh_ask":50,"primary_drift":-6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142116 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.789822+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45): primary NO 56c->50c (-6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":56,"primary_fresh_ask":50,"primary_drift":-6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:15.703886+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142115 · 2026-06-15T02:31:15.703886+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:09.786632+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] |
id=142114 · 2026-06-15T02:31:09.786632+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:09.786402+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "liquidity_sweep_just_done",\n "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n "price_below_vwa…' |
id=142113 · 2026-06-15T02:31:09.786402+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "liquidity_sweep_just_done",\n "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n "price_below_vwa…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:07.983324+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8337 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+53.69 |
id=142112 · 2026-06-15T02:31:07.983324+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8337 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+53.69 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:07.971232+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8336 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-62.78 |
id=142111 · 2026-06-15T02:31:07.971232+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8336 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-62.78 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:07.957815+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8335 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-63.75 |
id=142110 · 2026-06-15T02:31:07.957815+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8335 settled: side=YES outcome=no pnl=-63.75 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:31:02.906902+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45, closes in 837s |
id=142109 · 2026-06-15T02:31:02.906902+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142245-45, closes in 837s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:30:32.905501+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 32.8s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=142108 · 2026-06-15T02:30:32.905501+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 32.8s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:30:12.629506+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142107 · 2026-06-15T02:30:12.629506+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:25:00.107364+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_exec | Hedge placed: NO 59c @ 9c bucket=0.25 |
id=142106 · 2026-06-15T02:25:00.107364+00:00 · INFO · hedge_exec Hedge placed: NO 59c @ 9c bucket=0.25 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:24:57.124173+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude |
id=142105 · 2026-06-15T02:24:57.124173+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:56.134136+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 | gate4 fail | opposing_ask=20¢ (threshold=20¢) |
id=142104 · 2026-06-15T02:23:56.134136+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 | gate4 fail | opposing_ask=20¢ (threshold=20¢) | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:51.083281+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $52 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes |
id=142103 · 2026-06-15T02:23:51.083281+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $52 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:47.908395+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude |
id=142102 · 2026-06-15T02:23:47.908395+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:42.529459+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $58 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes |
id=142101 · 2026-06-15T02:23:42.529459+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $58 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:39.886510+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude |
id=142100 · 2026-06-15T02:23:39.886510+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:34.505227+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $49 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes |
id=142099 · 2026-06-15T02:23:34.505227+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $49 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:31.705299+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude |
id=142098 · 2026-06-15T02:23:31.705299+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:26.323334+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $62 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes |
id=142097 · 2026-06-15T02:23:26.323334+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $62 above strike and trending up (+14, +11 last two candles). Both thes | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:23.540495+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude |
id=142096 · 2026-06-15T02:23:23.540495+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:23.171429+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=503s remaining=397s | parent=YES@85¢ |
id=142095 · 2026-06-15T02:23:23.171429+00:00 · INFO · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=503s remaining=397s | parent=YES@85¢ | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:21.267563+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4824 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142094 · 2026-06-15T02:23:21.267563+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4824 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:21.255363+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8336: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=86c |
id=142093 · 2026-06-15T02:23:21.255363+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8336: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=86c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:21.254728+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8336 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=74c live_ask=86c drift=12c |
id=142092 · 2026-06-15T02:23:21.254728+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8336 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=74c live_ask=86c drift=12c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:21.224099+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4824: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142091 · 2026-06-15T02:23:21.224099+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4824: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:21.197194+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30): primary YES 74c->74c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":74,"primary_fresh_ask":74,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142090 · 2026-06-15T02:23:21.197194+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30): primary YES 74c->74c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":74,"primary_fresh_ask":74,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:23:12.025642+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30, closes in 408s |
id=142089 · 2026-06-15T02:23:12.025642+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30, closes in 408s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:36.644764+00:00 | -- | info | settler | v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_settled trade=8334 decision=4822: outcome=loss pnl_cents=-6402 | {"event":"would_have_blocked_settled","trade_id":8334,"decision_id":4822,"outcome":"loss","pnl_cents":-6402,"fill_price_cents":6,"settlement_method":"collector"} |
id=142088 · 2026-06-15T02:16:36.644764+00:00 · INFO · settler v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_settled trade=8334 decision=4822: outcome=loss pnl_cents=-6402 | {"event":"would_have_blocked_settled","trade_id":8334,"decision_id":4822,"outcome":"loss","pnl_cents":-6402,"fill_price_cents":6,"settlement_method":"collector"} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:36.632552+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8334 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-64.02 |
id=142087 · 2026-06-15T02:16:36.632552+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8334 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-64.02 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.865618+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4823 (review 1/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142086 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.865618+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4823 (review 1/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.853632+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8335: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=85c |
id=142085 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.853632+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8335: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=85c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.852821+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8335 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=56c live_ask=85c drift=29c |
id=142084 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.852821+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8335 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30 side=YES snapshot_ask=56c live_ask=85c drift=29c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.815100+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4823: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142083 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.815100+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4823: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.811065+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30): primary YES 53c->56c (+3c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":53,"primary_fresh_ask":56,"primary_drift":3,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142082 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.811065+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30): primary YES 53c->56c (+3c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":53,"primary_fresh_ask":56,"primary_drift":3,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:11.719077+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142081 · 2026-06-15T02:16:11.719077+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:05.941651+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...] |
id=142080 · 2026-06-15T02:16:05.941651+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:16:05.941288+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BULLISH",\n "implied_side": "YES",\n "contributing_features": [\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_above_vwap_bullish_thesis",\n "volume_expa…' |
id=142079 · 2026-06-15T02:16:05.941288+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BULLISH",\n "implied_side": "YES",\n "contributing_features": [\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_above_vwap_bullish_thesis",\n "volume_expa…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:15:59.856256+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30, closes in 840s |
id=142078 · 2026-06-15T02:15:59.856256+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142230-30, closes in 840s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:15:29.854866+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 29.8s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=142077 · 2026-06-15T02:15:29.854866+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 29.8s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:14:52.401274+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot |
id=142076 · 2026-06-15T02:14:52.401274+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:13:50.104232+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot |
id=142075 · 2026-06-15T02:13:50.104232+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:30.062341+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 | gate3.5 fail | r1_status_at_r2='no_r1' (add-lane only) |
id=142074 · 2026-06-15T02:08:30.062341+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 | gate3.5 fail | r1_status_at_r2='no_r1' (add-lane only) | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:30.053664+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=510s remaining=390s | parent=NO@6¢ |
id=142073 · 2026-06-15T02:08:30.053664+00:00 · INFO · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=510s remaining=390s | parent=NO@6¢ | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.865135+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4822 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142072 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.865135+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4822 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.853219+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8334: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=6c |
id=142071 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.853219+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8334: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=6c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.852572+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8334 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 side=NO snapshot_ask=9c live_ask=6c drift=-3c |
id=142070 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.852572+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8334 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 side=NO snapshot_ask=9c live_ask=6c drift=-3c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.827899+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4822: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142069 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.827899+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4822: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.827729+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_decision_id_link decision=4822 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 side=NO perceived=7c | {"event":"would_have_blocked_decision_id_link","decision_id":4822,"decision_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","perceived_ask":7,"primary_entry_strategy":"immediate","primary_target_kalshi_odds_pct":null} |
id=142068 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.827729+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_decision_id_link decision=4822 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15 side=NO perceived=7c | {"event":"would_have_blocked_decision_id_link","decision_id":4822,"decision_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","perceived_ask":7,"primary_entry_strategy":"immediate","primary_target_kalshi_odds_pct":null} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.824058+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): primary NO 7c->9c (+2c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":7,"primary_fresh_ask":9,"primary_drift":2,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142067 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.824058+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): primary NO 7c->9c (+2c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":7,"primary_fresh_ask":9,"primary_drift":2,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.737891+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_min_perceived_ask (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): side NO, perceived=7c < legacy floor 20c | {"event":"would_have_blocked_min_perceived_ask","decision_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","perceived_ask":7,"previous_floor":20,"primary_entry_strategy":"immediate","primary_target_kalshi_odds_pct":null,"thesis_trend":"BEARISH","thesis_pattern":null,"thesis_implied_side":"NO","action":"instrumented_proceed_v1760p1_8"} |
id=142066 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.737891+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.60-patch1.8 would_have_blocked_min_perceived_ask (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): side NO, perceived=7c < legacy floor 20c | {"event":"would_have_blocked_min_perceived_ask","decision_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","perceived_ask":7,"previous_floor":20,"primary_entry_strategy":"immediate","primary_target_kalshi_odds_pct":null,"thesis_trend":"BEARISH","thesis_pattern":null,"thesis_implied_side":"NO","action":"instrumented_proceed_v1760p1_8"} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:27.737562+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142065 · 2026-06-15T02:08:27.737562+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:22.046352+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] |
id=142064 · 2026-06-15T02:08:22.046352+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=2 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:22.046046+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): "Looking at the current state:\n\nBTC is at 65,564 with strike at 65,467.2. Price is currently ~$97 ABOVE strike. The window opened bearish per R1's thesis, but intra-window price has been steadily climb…" |
id=142063 · 2026-06-15T02:08:22.046046+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): "Looking at the current state:\n\nBTC is at 65,564 with strike at 65,467.2. Price is currently ~$97 ABOVE strike. The window opened bearish per R1's thesis, but intra-window price has been steadily climb…" | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:08:07.103319+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15, closes in 413s |
id=142062 · 2026-06-15T02:08:07.103319+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15, closes in 413s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:01:05.615429+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8333 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+1.28 |
id=142061 · 2026-06-15T02:01:05.615429+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8333 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+1.28 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:01:05.602605+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8332 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+39.14 |
id=142060 · 2026-06-15T02:01:05.602605+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8332 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+39.14 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:01:00.758285+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2: aborted by v1.7.12 freshness gate — stale_book_adverse_drift: NO ask drifted 26c -> 58c (+32c >= 20c threshold) between the LLM call and trade insertion |
id=142059 · 2026-06-15T02:01:00.758285+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2: aborted by v1.7.12 freshness gate — stale_book_adverse_drift: NO ask drifted 26c -> 58c (+32c >= 20c threshold) between the LLM call and trade insertion | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:01:00.758015+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): primary NO 26c->58c (+32c); gate=abort (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":26,"primary_fresh_ask":58,"primary_drift":32,"gate_decision":"abort","threshold":20} |
id=142058 · 2026-06-15T02:01:00.758015+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15): primary NO 26c->58c (+32c); gate=abort (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":26,"primary_fresh_ask":58,"primary_drift":32,"gate_decision":"abort","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:01:00.636169+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142057 · 2026-06-15T02:01:00.636169+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:00:53.983610+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] |
id=142056 · 2026-06-15T02:00:53.983610+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:00:53.983264+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "lower_highs_forming",\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_below_vwap_bearish…' |
id=142055 · 2026-06-15T02:00:53.983264+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "lower_highs_forming",\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "price_below_vwap_bearish…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:00:47.485166+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15, closes in 853s |
id=142054 · 2026-06-15T02:00:47.485166+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142215-15, closes in 853s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T02:00:17.484064+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 17.4s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=142053 · 2026-06-15T02:00:17.484064+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 17.4s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:59:29.021647+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142052 · 2026-06-15T01:59:29.021647+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:58:26.931134+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142051 · 2026-06-15T01:58:26.931134+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/1 no=99/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:54:13.615600+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$157 |
id=142050 · 2026-06-15T01:54:13.615600+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 | gate5 fail | btc_distance=$157 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:54:08.209689+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price trending up slowly (+16, +14) but still $137 below strike with only 5.9min |
id=142049 · 2026-06-15T01:54:08.209689+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price trending up slowly (+16, +14) but still $137 below strike with only 5.9min | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:54:05.313256+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142048 · 2026-06-15T01:54:05.313256+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:59.936332+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $135 below strike with only 6.1 min remaining. Recent candles show slow |
id=142047 · 2026-06-15T01:53:59.936332+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $135 below strike with only 6.1 min remaining. Recent candles show slow | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:56.659894+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142046 · 2026-06-15T01:53:56.659894+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:51.278030+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with only 6.2min left. Recent candles show |
id=142045 · 2026-06-15T01:53:51.278030+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with only 6.2min left. Recent candles show | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:48.542706+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142044 · 2026-06-15T01:53:48.542706+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:43.159960+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,531 is $120 below strike with only 6.3min left. Recent candles show |
id=142043 · 2026-06-15T01:53:43.159960+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,531 is $120 below strike with only 6.3min left. Recent candles show | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:40.101380+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142042 · 2026-06-15T01:53:40.101380+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:34.716116+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $127 below strike with 6.5min left. Recent candles show near-flat movem |
id=142041 · 2026-06-15T01:53:34.716116+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $127 below strike with 6.5min left. Recent candles show near-flat movem | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:31.936674+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142040 · 2026-06-15T01:53:31.936674+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:26.537742+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with only 6.6min left. Recent candles show |
id=142039 · 2026-06-15T01:53:26.537742+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with only 6.6min left. Recent candles show | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:23.921766+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142038 · 2026-06-15T01:53:23.921766+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:18.540668+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with 6.7min left. Both R1/R2 bearish, rece |
id=142037 · 2026-06-15T01:53:18.540668+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price at $65,516 is $135 below strike with 6.7min left. Both R1/R2 bearish, rece | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:15.908820+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude |
id=142036 · 2026-06-15T01:53:15.908820+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:15.546082+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=496s remaining=404s | parent=NO@62¢ |
id=142035 · 2026-06-15T01:53:15.546082+00:00 · INFO · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 | gate1+2 pass | elapsed=496s remaining=404s | parent=NO@62¢ | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:14.736318+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4820 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142034 · 2026-06-15T01:53:14.736318+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4820 (review 2/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:14.723242+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8333: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=98c |
id=142033 · 2026-06-15T01:53:14.723242+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8333: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=98c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:14.722492+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8333 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=97c live_ask=98c drift=1c |
id=142032 · 2026-06-15T01:53:14.722492+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8333 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=97c live_ask=98c drift=1c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:14.694251+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4820: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142031 · 2026-06-15T01:53:14.694251+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4820: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:14.690656+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00): primary NO 97c->97c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":97,"primary_fresh_ask":97,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142030 · 2026-06-15T01:53:14.690656+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00): primary NO 97c->97c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":97,"primary_fresh_ask":97,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:53:05.346920+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00, closes in 415s |
id=142029 · 2026-06-15T01:53:05.346920+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00, closes in 415s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:46:34.548750+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8331 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+1.98 |
id=142028 · 2026-06-15T01:46:34.548750+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8331 settled: side=YES outcome=yes pnl=+1.98 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:46:34.536796+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8330 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-63.86 |
id=142027 · 2026-06-15T01:46:34.536796+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8330 settled: side=NO outcome=yes pnl=-63.86 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.464655+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4819 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142026 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.464655+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4819 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.452792+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8332: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=62c |
id=142025 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.452792+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8332: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=62c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.452142+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8332 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=53c live_ask=62c drift=9c |
id=142024 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.452142+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8332 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00 side=NO snapshot_ask=53c live_ask=62c drift=9c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.424010+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4819: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142023 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.424010+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4819: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.419950+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00): primary NO 47c->53c (+6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":47,"primary_fresh_ask":53,"primary_drift":6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142022 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.419950+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00): primary NO 47c->53c (+6c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":47,"primary_fresh_ask":53,"primary_drift":6,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:57.335039+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142021 · 2026-06-15T01:45:57.335039+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:51.329412+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...] |
id=142020 · 2026-06-15T01:45:51.329412+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BULLISH', 'implied_side': 'YES', 'c...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:51.329105+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BULLISH",\n "implied_side": "YES",\n "contributing_features": [\n "price_above_vwap_bullish_thesis",\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "volume_expa…' |
id=142019 · 2026-06-15T01:45:51.329105+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BULLISH",\n "implied_side": "YES",\n "contributing_features": [\n "price_above_vwap_bullish_thesis",\n "momentum_accelerating_with_thesis",\n "volume_expa…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:44.416447+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00, closes in 856s |
id=142018 · 2026-06-15T01:45:44.416447+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142200-00, closes in 856s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:14.414980+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 14.3s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=142017 · 2026-06-15T01:45:14.414980+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 14.3s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:45:06.835107+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot |
id=142016 · 2026-06-15T01:45:06.835107+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=None/None no=None/None); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:44:05.353861+00:00 | -- | info | live_orderbook_display_fallback | ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot |
id=142015 · 2026-06-15T01:44:05.353861+00:00 · INFO · live_orderbook_display_fallback ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45: live book crossed/locked or a side missing (yes=99/None no=None/1); using collector snapshot | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.393599+00:00 | -- | debug | hedge_gate | KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'} |
id=142014 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.393599+00:00 · DEBUG · hedge_gate KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 | gate2 fail | conflicting primary sides {'YES', 'NO'} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.320475+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4818 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142013 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.320475+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4818 (review 2/2): thesis=BULLISH->YES side=YES size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.307474+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8331: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=97c |
id=142012 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.307474+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8331: side=YES size_pct=1.00 fill_price=97c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.306776+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8331 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 side=YES snapshot_ask=95c live_ask=97c drift=2c |
id=142011 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.306776+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8331 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 side=YES snapshot_ask=95c live_ask=97c drift=2c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.279925+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4818: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142010 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.279925+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4818: primary placed — BULLISH -> YES, side=YES, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:18.275578+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45): primary YES 95c->95c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":95,"primary_fresh_ask":95,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142009 · 2026-06-15T01:38:18.275578+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 2/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45): primary YES 95c->95c (+0c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45","review_index":2,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"YES","primary_perceived_ask":95,"primary_fresh_ask":95,"primary_drift":0,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:38:09.516395+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45, closes in 410s |
id=142008 · 2026-06-15T01:38:09.516395+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 2/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45, closes in 410s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.249177+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | decision 4817 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate |
id=142007 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.249177+00:00 · INFO · scheduler decision 4817 (review 1/2): thesis=BEARISH->NO side=NO size_pct=1.00 entry=immediate | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.236901+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | fill 8330: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=62c |
id=142006 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.236901+00:00 · INFO · scheduler fill 8330: side=NO size_pct=1.00 fill_price=62c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.236181+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8330 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=60c live_ask=62c drift=2c |
id=142005 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.236181+00:00 · INFO · scheduler live_orderbook_fill: trade_id=8330 ticker=KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45 side=NO snapshot_ask=60c live_ask=62c drift=2c | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.209531+00:00 | -- | info | claude | decision 4817: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. |
id=142004 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.209531+00:00 · INFO · claude decision 4817: primary placed — BEARISH -> NO, side=NO, entry=immediate, size_pct=1.00. | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.204768+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45): primary NO 50c->60c (+10c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":50,"primary_fresh_ask":60,"primary_drift":10,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} |
id=142003 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.204768+00:00 · INFO · scheduler v1.7.12 drift (review 1/2, KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45): primary NO 50c->60c (+10c); gate=proceed (threshold 20c) | {"event":"v1712_drift","trade_window":"KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45","review_index":1,"review_total":2,"primary_side":"NO","primary_perceived_ask":50,"primary_fresh_ask":60,"primary_drift":10,"gate_decision":"proceed","threshold":20} | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:06.121413+00:00 | -- | info | claude | trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 |
id=142002 · 2026-06-15T01:31:06.121413+00:00 · INFO · claude trader call succeeded on attempt 2/6 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:03.063670+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8329 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+7.81 |
id=142001 · 2026-06-15T01:31:03.063670+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8329 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+7.81 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:31:03.051538+00:00 | -- | info | settler | trade 8328 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+42.40 |
id=142000 · 2026-06-15T01:31:03.051538+00:00 · INFO · settler trade 8328 settled: side=NO outcome=no pnl=+42.40 | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:30:59.941830+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] |
id=141999 · 2026-06-15T01:30:59.941830+00:00 · WARN · claude v1.10 retry-cause: review_index=1 attempt=1/6 errors=[action_type|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...; r1_status_at_r2|missing|{'thesis': {'trend': 'BEARISH', 'implied_side': 'NO', 'co...] | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:30:59.941499+00:00 | -- | warn | claude | trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n "lower_hig…' |
id=141998 · 2026-06-15T01:30:59.941499+00:00 · WARN · claude trader response failed schema validation on attempt 1/6; retrying with hint. raw_response_preview (first 200 chars): '{\n "thesis": {\n "trend": "BEARISH",\n "implied_side": "NO",\n "contributing_features": [\n "price_below_vwap_bearish_thesis",\n "momentum_decelerating_against_thesis",\n "lower_hig…' | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:30:53.638607+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45, closes in 846s |
id=141997 · 2026-06-15T01:30:53.638607+00:00 · INFO · scheduler review 1/2 for window KXBTC15M-26JUN142145-45, closes in 846s | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:30:23.637844+00:00 | -- | info | scheduler | new window live after 23.6s; settling for 30s before first review |
id=141996 · 2026-06-15T01:30:23.637844+00:00 · INFO · scheduler new window live after 23.6s; settling for 30s before first review | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:29:03.076845+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Only 1 min left, price $58 below strike with bearish thesis intact. Recent candl |
id=141995 · 2026-06-15T01:29:03.076845+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Only 1 min left, price $58 below strike with bearish thesis intact. Recent candl | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:59.974809+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141994 · 2026-06-15T01:28:59.974809+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:54.585679+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Only 1.1 min left, price is $63 below strike with flat-to-slightly-rising moment |
id=141993 · 2026-06-15T01:28:54.585679+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Only 1.1 min left, price is $63 below strike with flat-to-slightly-rising moment | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:51.974710+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141992 · 2026-06-15T01:28:51.974710+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:46.569897+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Only 1.3min left, price at $65,401 needs $63 move to hit $65,464. Recent momentu |
id=141991 · 2026-06-15T01:28:46.569897+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Only 1.3min left, price at $65,401 needs $63 move to hit $65,464. Recent momentu | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:43.730579+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141990 · 2026-06-15T01:28:43.730579+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:38.350934+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $58 below strike with only 1.4 min remaining. Last 3 candles show near- |
id=141989 · 2026-06-15T01:28:38.350934+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $58 below strike with only 1.4 min remaining. Last 3 candles show near- | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:35.337384+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141988 · 2026-06-15T01:28:35.337384+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:29.958142+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $50 below strike with only 1.6 min remaining. Recent candles show near- |
id=141987 · 2026-06-15T01:28:29.958142+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $50 below strike with only 1.6 min remaining. Recent candles show near- | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:26.821967+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141986 · 2026-06-15T01:28:26.821967+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:21.438608+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $56 below strike with only 1.7 min remaining. Recent candles show minim |
id=141985 · 2026-06-15T01:28:21.438608+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $56 below strike with only 1.7 min remaining. Recent candles show minim | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:18.605641+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141984 · 2026-06-15T01:28:18.605641+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:13.226291+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $76 below strike with 1.8min remaining. Recent candles show minimal upw |
id=141983 · 2026-06-15T01:28:13.226291+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $76 below strike with 1.8min remaining. Recent candles show minimal upw | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:10.643750+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141982 · 2026-06-15T01:28:10.643750+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:05.253535+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $85 below strike with only 2 min remaining. Recent candles show minimal |
id=141981 · 2026-06-15T01:28:05.253535+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $85 below strike with only 2 min remaining. Recent candles show minimal | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:28:02.071010+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141980 · 2026-06-15T01:28:02.071010+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:27:56.673762+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $85 below strike with 2.1 min remaining. Recent candles show minimal up |
id=141979 · 2026-06-15T01:27:56.673762+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $85 below strike with 2.1 min remaining. Recent candles show minimal up | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:27:53.316538+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141978 · 2026-06-15T01:27:53.316538+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:27:47.932793+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Claude declined hedge: Price is $73 below strike with 2.3min left. Recent candles show +30, -3 — no mea |
id=141977 · 2026-06-15T01:27:47.932793+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Claude declined hedge: Price is $73 below strike with 2.3min left. Recent candles show +30, -3 — no mea | ||||
| 2026-06-15T01:27:45.312536+00:00 | -- | info | hedge_eval | Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude |
id=141976 · 2026-06-15T01:27:45.312536+00:00 · INFO · hedge_eval Hedge gate open for KXBTC15M-26JUN142130-30; calling Claude | ||||